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CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.China Bank's RMB clearing volume in Australia exceeded 100 trillion yuan. According to Bank of China, recently, Bank of China Sydney Branch and Bank of China Hong Kong jointly held a RMB forum in Sydney to celebrate the 10th anniversary of being an Australian RMB clearing bank. As the only RMB clearing bank in the South Pacific at present, in the past ten years, China Bank has taken root in Australia and South Pacific, continuously expanded its clearing network, cooperated with four local banks and other financial institutions in Australia, and became the main channel for RMB clearing of local important banks, providing RMB clearing volume of more than 100 trillion yuan.Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.

Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue should be dismissed immediately. The only way is for the ruling party members to vote for impeachment.Nepal's Everest region will ban commercial helicopter flights to protect the local economy and wildlife. On December 11th, local officials in Nepal said that the local government and other stakeholders have decided to ban commercial helicopter flights in the Everest region from January 1st next year to protect the local economy and wildlife. Mingema Chiri Sherpa, mayor of Khumbasan Lamu, Mount Everest, Nepal, said on the same day that the decision was made because the increase in commercial helicopter flights in Mount Everest in recent years has shortened the stay time of tourists, and helicopter noise has also interfered with wildlife in nearby national parks. Relevant decisions are being sent to helicopter operators, travel agencies and tourism enterprises through letters.

The vice chairman of Bosch's supervisory board said that as many as 10,000 jobs in Germany are at risk. Frank Sell, vice chairman of the supervisory board of Bosch, the world's top auto parts supplier, said on Wednesday that a series of layoffs announced by Bosch recently have put about 8,000-10,000 jobs in Germany at risk. Sell, who is also the chairman of the labor committee of Bosch's key business mobile solutions division, said that Bosch's overall plan has created an atmosphere that he called "absolutely intolerable" within the group. Bosch has about 135,000 employees in Germany.Musk is worth $447 billion, nearly $200 billion behind Bezos. Tesla shares rose 5.9% on Wednesday to close at $424.77, a record high, surpassing the previous record of $409.97 set on November 4, 2021. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Musk's worth soared by $62.8 billion overnight to $447 billion, making him the first super-rich man on earth with a net worth of over $400 billion. Musk's current net worth is nearly $200 billion higher than that of the second-ranked Jeff Bezos, who is worth about $249 billion.Thirteen people were killed when Israeli forces attacked the southern and northern parts of the Gaza Strip. On the 12th, local time, the reporter of the General Station learned from the Palestinian side that Israeli forces bombed Rafah, a city in the southern part of the Gaza Strip, killing seven people and injuring many others. According to medical staff in Rafah, seven dead people were attacked while protecting a rescue truck that arrived in the city. In addition, the Israeli army bombed a residential building west of Gaza City in the northern Gaza Strip, killing six people. (CCTV)